Miguel Baeza
Midfielder CD NacionalPrimeira Liga 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga midfielder, 25/26, 2,874 appearances
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Picked from 304 selections across 78 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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In 26/27, Miguel Baeza has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (4 of 8), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 25%, 1+ foul won in 38%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Miguel Baeza featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Rio Ave11 Oct | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Famalicão19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Alverca12 Sep | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sporting CP5 Sep | 80 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| CF Estrela Amadora30 Aug | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Vitória SC23 Aug | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Estoril Praia16 Aug | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Santa Clara10 Aug | 72 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CF Estrela Amadora4 Apr | 49 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Famalicão21 Mar | 77 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Miguel Baeza have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Miguel Baeza has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (4 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Miguel Baeza average?
Across 8 Primeira Liga appearances in 26/27, Miguel Baeza is averaging 0.64 shots on target and 1.11 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Miguel Baeza get booked?
Miguel Baeza is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Miguel Baeza commit or win more fouls?
This season Miguel Baeza commits 0.32 fouls per 90 and wins 0.95 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Miguel Baeza?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Miguel Baeza plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.