Nicolás Otamendi
Defender BenficaPrimeira Liga 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga defender, 25/26, 3,218 appearances
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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Nicolás Otamendi has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Nicolás Otamendi in Primeira Liga, 25/26 — drawn from 13 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás OtamendiBenfica | 30 | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| António SilvaBournemouth | 25 | 0.87 | 1.16 |
| Gustaf LagerbielkeSporting Braga | 28 | 0.68 | 1.73 |
| Gonçalo InácioSporting CP | 29 | 0.40 | 0.75 |
| Jan BednarekFC Porto | 32 | 0.43 | 1.24 |
| Eduardo QuaresmaSporting CP | 16 | 0.38 | 1.06 |
| These 5, combined | 0.55 | 1.20 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nicolás Otamendi featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Estoril Praia16 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Famalicão2 May | 55 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Moreirense25 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Sporting CP19 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| CD Nacional12 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Casa Pia6 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Porto8 Mar | 75 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Gil Vicente2 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| AVS - Futebol SAD21 Feb | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Santa Clara13 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Nicolás Otamendi have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Nicolás Otamendi has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nicolás Otamendi average?
Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Nicolás Otamendi is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 0.78 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nicolás Otamendi get booked?
Nicolás Otamendi is averaging 0.34 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nicolás Otamendi commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Nicolás Otamendi commits 0.89 fouls per 90 and wins 0.78 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nicolás Otamendi?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nicolás Otamendi plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.