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Primeira Liga 23/24
TH

Théo Fonseca

Forward FamalicãoPrimeira Liga 23/24

Next match
Famalicão at Rio Ave›
Sun 25 Oct
Last games
max 19 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.81 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
Total shots2.03 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
Fouls won2.23 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.6×
Fouls committed2.03 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Tackles1.42 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.20 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Théo Fonseca has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Théo Fonseca featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Vizela6 Apr 10 0 1 0 0 0 0
CF Estrela Amadora16 Mar 9 0 1 3 1 0 0
@ Vitória SC9 Mar 11 0 1 1 1 0 0
Boavista4 Mar 10 0 0 0 1 0 0
Rio Ave16 Feb 17 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Moreirense28 Jan 84 0 0 2 1 0 0
Sporting Braga18 Jan 69 0 2 0 1 0 0
@ Casa Pia13 Jan 84 1 1 2 1 3 0
Chaves7 Jan 85 2 3 2 1 1 0
@ Benfica29 Dec 65 1 1 0 3 2 0

Frequently asked

How often does Théo Fonseca have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Théo Fonseca has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Théo Fonseca average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Théo Fonseca is averaging 0.81 shots on target and 2.03 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Théo Fonseca get booked?

Théo Fonseca is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Théo Fonseca commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Théo Fonseca commits 2.03 fouls per 90 and wins 2.23 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Théo Fonseca?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Théo Fonseca plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.