Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Scottish Premiership 26/27
BL

Blair Spittal

Midfielder Heart of MidlothianScottish Premiership 26/27

Next match
Heart of Midlothian at Celtic›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership midfielder, 25/26, 2,179 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.57 per 90
40%
4 of 101.9×
1.83bet365Edge
Total shots1.99 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
1.14bet365Edge
Fouls won0.28 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls committed0.43 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
Tackles1.71 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
4.75bet365Edge
Goals0.28 per 90
20%
2 of 103.1×
form only
Assists0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 101.6×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 241 selections across 65 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Blair Spittal has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Blair Spittal featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Hibernian3 Sep 71 0 1 1 1 1 0
St. Johnstone29 Aug 33 0 2 0 0 0 0
Dundee United9 Aug 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Aberdeen1 Aug 80 1 3 1 0 1 0
@ Celtic16 May 39 0 0 0 0 1 0
Falkirk FC13 May 89 1 4 1 1 1 1
@ Motherwell9 May 87 0 0 0 0 4 0
Rangers4 May 45 1 2 0 0 2 0
@ Hibernian26 Apr 32 1 1 0 0 0 0
Motherwell11 Apr 66 0 1 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
John Beaton 16 games Blair Spittal never booked 4.15cards/game 1.03×vs league
Nick Walsh 10 games Blair Spittal never booked 4.28cards/game 1.06×vs league
David Dickinson 9 games Blair Spittal booked in 1 4.52cards/game 1.12×vs league
Steven McLean 7 games Blair Spittal never booked 3.38cards/game 0.84×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does Blair Spittal have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Blair Spittal has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Blair Spittal average?

Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Blair Spittal is averaging 0.57 shots on target and 1.99 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Blair Spittal get booked?

Blair Spittal is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Blair Spittal commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Blair Spittal commits 0.43 fouls per 90 and wins 0.28 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Blair Spittal?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Blair Spittal plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.