What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Scottish Premiership defender, 25/26, 2,407 appearances
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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Julián Araujo has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 90%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Julián Araujo in Scottish Premiership, 25/26 — drawn from 7 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julián AraujoBournemouth | 10 | 1.03 | 1.37 |
| James TavernierRangers | 34 | 1.78 | 1.33 |
| Tony RalstonCeltic | 24 | 0.48 | 1.31 |
| Dujon SterlingRangers | 14 | 0.38 | 1.05 |
| Alistair JohnstonCeltic | 7 | 0.72 | 1.08 |
| Kieran TierneyCeltic | 35 | 1.04 | 0.54 |
| These 5, combined | 1.07 | 1.01 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Julián Araujo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Aberdeen4 Mar | 87 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Rangers1 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Hibernian22 Feb | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Kilmarnock15 Feb | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Livingston11 Feb | 78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Falkirk FC1 Feb | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Heart of Midlothian25 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| @ Falkirk FC14 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dundee United10 Jan | 61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Rangers3 Jan | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Julián Araujo have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Julián Araujo has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Julián Araujo average?
Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Julián Araujo is averaging 0.46 shots on target and 1.03 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Julián Araujo get booked?
Julián Araujo is averaging 0.34 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Julián Araujo commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Julián Araujo commits 1.37 fouls per 90 and wins 0.91 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Julián Araujo?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Julián Araujo plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.