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Scottish Premiership 25/26
JA

James Tavernier

Defender RangersScottish Premiership 25/26

Next match
Rangers at Dundee FC›
Sat 17 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership defender, 25/26, 2,407 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.66 per 90
30%
3 of 102.2×
Total shots2.25 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 102.2×
Fouls won1.06 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Fouls committed1.06 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles2.25 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
Goals0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 102.1×
form only
Assists0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 102.2×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 241 selections across 65 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, James Tavernier has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to James Tavernier in Scottish Premiership, 25/26 — drawn from 7 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
James TavernierRangers 341.78 1.33
Julián AraujoBournemouth 101.03 1.37
Kieran TierneyCeltic 351.04 0.54
Tony RalstonCeltic 240.48 1.31
Alistair JohnstonCeltic 70.72 1.08
Dujon SterlingRangers 140.38 1.05
These 5, combined 0.79 0.94

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games James Tavernier featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Celtic10 May 59 0 0 1 1 1 0
@ Heart of Midlothian4 May 90 0 3 0 0 1 0
Motherwell26 Apr 45 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Falkirk FC12 Apr 90 0 1 1 1 5 1
Dundee United4 Apr 8 0 1 0 0 0 0
Aberdeen21 Mar 90 2 3 2 4 0 0
@ St. Mirren15 Mar 90 1 2 0 0 4 0
@ Livingston22 Feb 90 2 5 1 2 2 0
Heart of Midlothian15 Feb 32 0 1 2 0 1 0
@ Motherwell11 Feb 86 0 1 1 0 2 0
Officials on record
Nick Walsh 24 games James Tavernier booked in 2 4.28cards/game 1.06×vs league
Steven McLean 18 games James Tavernier booked in 5 3.38cards/game 0.84×vs league
David Dickinson 15 games James Tavernier booked in 3 4.52cards/game 1.12×vs league
John Beaton 12 games James Tavernier never booked 4.15cards/game 1.03×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does James Tavernier have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, James Tavernier has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does James Tavernier average?

Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, James Tavernier is averaging 0.66 shots on target and 2.25 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does James Tavernier get booked?

James Tavernier is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does James Tavernier commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games James Tavernier commits 1.06 fouls per 90 and wins 1.06 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for James Tavernier?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. James Tavernier plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.