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Scottish Premiership 25/26
TO

Tony Ralston

Defender CelticScottish Premiership 25/26

Next match
Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership defender, 25/26, 2,407 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.23 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
6.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.45 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
2.25bet365Edge
Fouls won2.02 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Fouls committed2.93 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
Tackles2.70 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.90 per 90
40%
4 of 102.5×
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Tony Ralston has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Tony Ralston in Scottish Premiership, 25/26 — drawn from 7 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Tony RalstonCeltic 240.48 1.31
Alistair JohnstonCeltic 70.72 1.08
Colby DonovanCeltic 140.57 1.28
Max AaronsBournemouth 210.63 0.53
Dujon SterlingRangers 140.38 1.05
Julián AraujoBournemouth 101.03 1.37
These 5, combined 0.65 1.04

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tony Ralston featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Motherwell13 May 20 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rangers10 May 9 0 0 1 2 0 0
@ Hibernian3 May 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
Falkirk FC25 Apr 72 1 1 4 1 1 1
St. Mirren11 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 3 0
@ Dundee FC5 Apr 23 0 0 2 1 0 1
Motherwell14 Mar 12 0 1 1 0 1 1
@ Heart of Midlothian25 Jan 13 0 0 0 1 0 0
Rangers3 Jan 88 0 0 2 2 4 0
@ Motherwell30 Dec 60 0 0 2 1 3 1
Officials on record
Nick Walsh 12 games Tony Ralston never booked 4.28cards/game 1.06×vs league
Steven McLean 10 games Tony Ralston booked in 1 3.38cards/game 0.84×vs league
John Beaton 4 games Tony Ralston booked in 1 4.15cards/game 1.03×vs league
David Dickinson 4 games Tony Ralston never booked 4.52cards/game 1.12×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does Tony Ralston have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Tony Ralston has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tony Ralston average?

Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Tony Ralston is averaging 0.23 shots on target and 0.45 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tony Ralston get booked?

Tony Ralston is averaging 0.90 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tony Ralston commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Tony Ralston commits 2.93 fouls per 90 and wins 2.02 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tony Ralston?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tony Ralston plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.