What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Scottish Premiership defender, 25/26, 2,407 appearances
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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Luca Stephenson has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Luca Stephenson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Rangers4 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Celtic22 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Dundee FC15 Mar | 83 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| St. Mirren3 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Motherwell28 Feb | 90 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aberdeen24 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kilmarnock21 Feb | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Falkirk FC14 Feb | 77 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hibernian4 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Heart of Midlothian31 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees
Frequently asked
How often does Luca Stephenson have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Luca Stephenson has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Luca Stephenson average?
Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Luca Stephenson is averaging 0.41 shots on target and 0.72 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luca Stephenson get booked?
Luca Stephenson is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luca Stephenson commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Luca Stephenson commits 1.23 fouls per 90 and wins 0.61 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luca Stephenson?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luca Stephenson plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.