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Serie A · 25/26
JO

João Mário

Defender · Bologna · Serie A 25/26

In 25/26, João Mário has hit 1+ shot on target in 5% of his 20 Serie A appearances (1 of 20), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, and 1+ foul won in 65%. He has been booked in 10% (2 of 20). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 20 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.24
30%3 of 10
0.49
90%Hot9 of 10
2.55
40%4 of 10
0.61
10%1 of 10
0.12
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Bologna vs Lazio
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games João Mário featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Atalanta17 May 90 0 1 1 3 0
@ SSC Napoli11 May 64 0 0 1 1 1
AS Roma25 Apr 66 0 0 2 1 0
Lecce12 Apr 66 0 0 0 2 0
@ Cremonese5 Apr 82 2 2 0 4 0
Hellas Verona8 Mar 90 0 0 0 3 0
@ Pisa2 Mar 74 0 0 0 2 0
Udinese23 Feb 90 0 0 0 3 0
@ Torino15 Feb 74 0 1 0 2 0
Parma8 Feb 45 0 0 1 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does João Mário have a shot on target?

In 25/26, João Mário has hit 1+ shot on target in 5% of his 20 Serie A appearances (1 of 20). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does João Mário average?

Across 20 Serie A appearances in 25/26, João Mário is averaging 0.18 shots on target and 0.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does João Mário get booked?

João Mário is averaging 0.18 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does João Mário commit or win more fouls?

This season João Mário commits 0.89 fouls per 90 and wins 2.77 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for João Mário?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. João Mário plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.