João Mário
Full-back 79% of 14 recent starts FiorentinaSerie A 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A full-back, 25/26, 763 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Serie A games, João Mário has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 100%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to João Mário in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 29 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| João MárioFiorentina | 20 | 0.62 | 0.89 |
| Manuel LazzariLazio | 23 | 0.38 | 0.94 |
| Stefano SabelliGenoa | 16 | 0.78 | 0.58 |
| Nuno TavaresLazio | 23 | 0.96 | 1.21 |
| DodôFiorentina | 36 | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| Robin GosensFC Schalke 04 | 26 | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| These 5, combined | 0.76 | 0.88 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games João Mário featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Frosinone29 Aug | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ AS Roma22 Aug | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Atalanta17 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SSC Napoli11 May | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| AS Roma25 Apr | 66 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Lecce12 Apr | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Cremonese5 Apr | 82 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Hellas Verona8 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Pisa2 Mar | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does João Mário have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, João Mário has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does João Mário average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, João Mário is averaging 0.25 shots on target and 0.38 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does João Mário get booked?
João Mário is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does João Mário commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games João Mário commits 0.88 fouls per 90 and wins 2.90 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for João Mário?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. João Mário plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.