Junior Messias
In 25/26, Junior Messias has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of his 20 Serie A appearances (5 of 20), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 45%, and 1+ foul won in 75%. He has been booked in 5% (1 of 20). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Junior Messias featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Atalanta2 May | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Como26 Apr | 33 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Pisa19 Apr | 25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Sassuolo12 Apr | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Juventus6 Apr | 52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Udinese20 Mar | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Hellas Verona15 Mar | 78 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| AS Roma8 Mar | 64 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Inter28 Feb | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Torino22 Feb | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Junior Messias have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Junior Messias has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of his 20 Serie A appearances (5 of 20). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Junior Messias average?
Across 20 Serie A appearances in 25/26, Junior Messias is averaging 0.93 shots on target and 2.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Junior Messias get booked?
Junior Messias is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Junior Messias commit or win more fouls?
This season Junior Messias commits 1.33 fouls per 90 and wins 2.93 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Junior Messias?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Junior Messias plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.