Junior Messias
Central midfielder 37% of 30 recent starts GenoaSerie A 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A central midfielder, 25/26, 2,920 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Junior Messias has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Junior Messias in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 106 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior MessiasGenoa | 20 | 2.53 | 1.33 |
| Mohamed KabaLecce | 15 | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| Davide FrattesiLazio | 22 | 2.50 | 1.41 |
| Gabriele PiccininiPisa | 25 | 1.96 | 1.14 |
| Morten ThorsbyGenoa | 24 | 1.37 | 1.63 |
| Jakub PiotrowskiUdinese | 33 | 1.91 | 1.54 |
| These 5, combined | 1.76 | 1.50 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Junior Messias featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Parma20 Sep | 85 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Frosinone12 Sep | 45 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Como4 Sep | 24 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Lazio29 Aug | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| SSC Napoli22 Aug | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Atalanta2 May | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Como26 Apr | 33 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Pisa19 Apr | 25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sassuolo12 Apr | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Juventus6 Apr | 52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Junior Messias have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Junior Messias has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Junior Messias average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Junior Messias is averaging 0.76 shots on target and 3.54 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Junior Messias get booked?
Junior Messias is averaging 0.25 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Junior Messias commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Junior Messias commits 1.26 fouls per 90 and wins 2.78 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Junior Messias?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Junior Messias plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.