What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A central midfielder, 25/26, 2,920 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Martín Payero has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Martín Payero in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 106 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Martín PayeroWatford | 25 | 1.42 | 2.28 |
| Luca MazzitelliCagliari | 18 | 1.72 | 2.52 |
| Michael FolorunshoMonza | 27 | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| Neil El AynaouiRB Leipzig | 25 | 0.54 | 2.08 |
| Gvidas GineitisTorino | 29 | 1.38 | 2.20 |
| Kristian ThorstvedtSassuolo | 32 | 1.57 | 1.24 |
| These 5, combined | 1.43 | 1.76 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Martín Payero featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio4 May | 29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SSC Napoli24 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Torino19 Apr | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cagliari11 Apr | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Bologna5 Apr | 37 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Parma21 Mar | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Lecce8 Mar | 45 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AS Roma22 Feb | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Genoa15 Feb | 58 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Atalanta9 Feb | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Martín Payero have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Martín Payero has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Martín Payero average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Martín Payero is averaging 0.68 shots on target and 1.36 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Martín Payero get booked?
Martín Payero is averaging 0.45 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Martín Payero commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Martín Payero commits 1.36 fouls per 90 and wins 2.49 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Martín Payero?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Martín Payero plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.