What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 4 games
Compared with a Serie A defender, 25/26, 3,479 appearances
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Over the last 4 Serie A games, Thierry Correia has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% (1 of 4), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 25%, and been booked in 25% (1 of 4). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 4 games Thierry Correia featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio19 Sep | 76 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Fiorentina11 Sep | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AC Milan28 Aug | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Lecce23 Aug | 64 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Thierry Correia have a shot on target?
Over the last 4 Serie A games, Thierry Correia has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% (1 of 4). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Thierry Correia average?
Across the last 4 Serie A games, Thierry Correia is averaging 0.49 shots on target and 2.43 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Thierry Correia get booked?
Thierry Correia is averaging 0.49 cards per 90 over the last 4 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Thierry Correia commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 4 games Thierry Correia commits 2.43 fouls per 90 and wins 1.46 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Thierry Correia?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Thierry Correia plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.