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Serie A 26/27
MA

Mathías Olivera

Full-back 50% of 30 recent starts SSC NapoliSerie A 26/27

Next match
SSC Napoli vs Frosinone›
Sat 10 OctReferee Ermanno Feliciani

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A full-back, 25/26, 763 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.32 per 90
20%
2 of 102.0×
4.33bet365Edge
Total shots1.43 per 90
50%
5 of 101.6×
1.90MGMEdge
Fouls won0.48 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.67bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.95 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.40bet365Edge
Tackles3.02 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
9.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Mathías Olivera has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Mathías Olivera in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 29 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Mathías OliveraSSC Napoli 250.53 1.12
Woyo CoulibalySassuolo 200.52 1.29
Álex ValleComo 280.49 1.51
Ivan SmolčićComo 280.65 1.41
Josh DoigSassuolo 300.51 0.75
Nuno TavaresLazio 230.96 1.21
These 5, combined 0.62 1.22

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mathías Olivera featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Fiorentina20 Sep 95 1 4 3 1 4 0
Bologna13 Sep 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
Como30 Aug 56 0 2 0 0 2 0
@ Genoa22 Aug 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
Udinese24 May 45 0 0 1 1 0 0
@ Pisa17 May 31 0 0 1 1 0 0
Cremonese24 Apr 53 0 0 0 0 3 0
Lazio18 Apr 90 0 1 0 0 5 0
@ Parma12 Apr 90 1 1 1 0 5 0
AC Milan6 Apr 90 0 1 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Daniele Doveri 11 games Mathías Olivera never booked 3.34cards/game 0.80×vs league
Federico La Penna 10 games Mathías Olivera never booked 4.32cards/game 1.03×vs league
Maurizio Mariani 9 games Mathías Olivera booked in 2 4.13cards/game 0.99×vs league
Andrea Colombo 8 games Mathías Olivera booked in 1 4.80cards/game 1.15×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Mathías Olivera have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Mathías Olivera has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Mathías Olivera average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Mathías Olivera is averaging 0.32 shots on target and 1.43 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mathías Olivera get booked?

Mathías Olivera is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mathías Olivera commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Mathías Olivera commits 0.95 fouls per 90 and wins 0.48 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mathías Olivera?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mathías Olivera plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.