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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Aarón Martín

Midfielder · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga 25/26

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Aarón Martín has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 28 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
30%3 of 10
0.65
40%4 of 10
1.08
40%4 of 10
0.87
70%7 of 10
2.16
20%2 of 10
0.43
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07
Sat 29 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Aarón Martín featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Borussia Dortmund27 May 90 1 1 2 1 0
VfB Stuttgart21 May 10 0 0 1 0 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt13 May 64 0 0 1 0 0
FC Schalke 045 May 90 1 1 1 0 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg30 Apr 45 0 1 2 0 1
FC Bayern München22 Apr 45 1 2 2 1 1
@ 1. FC Köln15 Apr 16 0 0 0 0 0
@ RB Leipzig1 Apr 2 0 0 1 1 0
@ Hertha BSC11 Mar 45 0 0 0 1 0
Borussia M'gladbach24 Feb 9 0 0 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Aarón Martín have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Aarón Martín has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Aarón Martín average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Aarón Martín is averaging 0.65 shots on target and 1.08 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Aarón Martín get booked?

Aarón Martín is averaging 0.43 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Aarón Martín commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Aarón Martín commits 2.16 fouls per 90 and wins 0.87 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Aarón Martín?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Aarón Martín plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.