What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga wing-back, 25/26, 863 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Aurélio Buta has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Aurélio Buta in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 33 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aurélio ButaEintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 0.60 | 1.79 |
| Rasmus KristensenEintracht Frankfurt | 22 | 0.86 | 1.38 |
| Nnamdi CollinsEintracht Frankfurt | 23 | 0.24 | 1.31 |
| Max FinkgräfeRB Leipzig | 13 | 0.72 | 0.54 |
| BernardoTSG Hoffenheim | 29 | 0.39 | 1.59 |
| Konrad LaimerFC Bayern München | 29 | 0.77 | 1.31 |
| These 5, combined | 0.57 | 1.36 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Aurélio Buta featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Hamburger SV20 Dec | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Bayern München4 Oct | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| @ Borussia M'gladbach27 Sep | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ TSG Hoffenheim30 Aug | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| RB Leipzig18 May | 78 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Borussia M'gladbach11 May | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen5 May | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Bayern München27 Apr | 77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| FC Augsburg19 Apr | 89 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ VfB Stuttgart13 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Aurélio Buta have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Aurélio Buta has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Aurélio Buta average?
Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Aurélio Buta is averaging 0.17 shots on target and 1.03 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Aurélio Buta get booked?
Aurélio Buta is averaging 0.17 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Aurélio Buta commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Aurélio Buta commits 1.20 fouls per 90 and wins 1.38 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Aurélio Buta?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Aurélio Buta plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.