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Bundesliga 26/27
JA

Jan-Niklas Beste

Winger 90% of 30 recent starts SC FreiburgBundesliga 26/27

Next match
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04›
Sun 11 OctReferee Martin Petersen

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga winger, 25/26, 865 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.49 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
1.80bet365Edge
Total shots0.98 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
1.25PPEdge
Fouls won1.63 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
1.11bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.82 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
1.36bet365Edge
Tackles1.79 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
11%
1 of 90.8×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 25/26, Jan-Niklas Beste has hit 1+ shot on target in 43% of 28 Bundesliga appearances (12 of 28), 1+ total shot in 61%, 1+ foul committed in 46%, 1+ foul won in 71%, and been booked in 18% (5 of 28). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Jan-Niklas Beste in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 28 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Jan-Niklas BesteSC Freiburg 281.26 0.89
Adam DaghimVfL Wolfsburg 291.75 1.11
Ritsu DoanEintracht Frankfurt 311.55 0.98
Marco GrüllSV Werder Bremen 331.92 1.47
Jean-Mattéo BahoyaLeeds United 271.96 0.88
Jamie LewelingVfB Stuttgart 321.86 0.64
These 5, combined 1.79 1.01

Recent matches

The last 10 games Jan-Niklas Beste featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Eintracht Frankfurt19 Sep 71 1 1 0 2 1 0
Borussia M'gladbach12 Sep 82 0 0 0 2 0 0
@ SC Paderborn 075 Sep 74 0 1 0 1 2 0
SV Werder Bremen29 Aug 45 0 2 1 0 0 0
RB Leipzig16 May 60 1 1 1 0 0 0
@ Hamburger SV10 May 59 0 0 1 1 3 0
VfL Wolfsburg3 May 90 0 0 0 2 3 0
@ Borussia Dortmund26 Apr 23 1 1 0 1 0 0
1. FC Heidenheim19 Apr 22 0 0 1 1 1 0
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0512 Apr 26 0 0 1 0 1 0
Officials on record
Bastian Dankert 6 games Jan-Niklas Beste booked in 1 3.60cards/game 0.88×vs league
Daniel Siebert 6 games Jan-Niklas Beste booked in 1 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Felix Zwayer 6 games Jan-Niklas Beste booked in 1 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Sven Jablonski 5 games Jan-Niklas Beste never booked 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Jan-Niklas Beste have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Jan-Niklas Beste has hit 1+ shot on target in 43% of 28 Bundesliga appearances (12 of 28). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Jan-Niklas Beste average?

Across 28 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Jan-Niklas Beste is averaging 0.73 shots on target and 1.26 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Jan-Niklas Beste get booked?

Jan-Niklas Beste is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Jan-Niklas Beste commit or win more fouls?

This season Jan-Niklas Beste commits 0.89 fouls per 90 and wins 1.89 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Jan-Niklas Beste?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Jan-Niklas Beste plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.