Keke Topp
Striker 100% of 8 recent starts SV Werder BremenBundesliga 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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In 25/26, Keke Topp has hit 1+ shot on target in 15% of 20 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 20), 1+ total shot in 65%, 1+ foul committed in 45%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (4 of 20). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Keke Topp in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keke ToppSV Werder Bremen | 20 | 3.41 | 2.19 |
| Fábio SilvaBorussia Dortmund | 28 | 2.50 | 2.07 |
| Conrad HarderRC Strasbourg | 29 | 4.11 | 2.06 |
| Mikkel Kaufmann1. FC Heidenheim | 16 | 1.81 | 2.31 |
| Ermedin DemirovićVfB Stuttgart | 25 | 2.45 | 2.21 |
| Christian KofaneBayer 04 Leverkusen | 29 | 3.26 | 2.13 |
| These 5, combined | 2.89 | 2.15 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Keke Topp featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FSV Mainz 0515 Mar | 45 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Union Berlin8 Mar | 45 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim28 Feb | 21 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ FC St. Pauli22 Feb | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg7 Feb | 90 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Borussia M'gladbach31 Jan | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TSG Hoffenheim27 Jan | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bayer 04 Leverkusen24 Jan | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt16 Jan | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ FC Augsburg20 Dec | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Keke Topp have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Keke Topp has hit 1+ shot on target in 15% of 20 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 20). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Keke Topp average?
Across 20 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Keke Topp is averaging 0.41 shots on target and 3.41 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Keke Topp get booked?
Keke Topp is averaging 0.55 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Keke Topp commit or win more fouls?
This season Keke Topp commits 2.19 fouls per 90 and wins 0.96 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Keke Topp?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Keke Topp plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.