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Bundesliga 26/27
LU

Luca Waldschmidt

Winger 40% of 25 recent starts 1. FC KölnBundesliga 26/27

Next match
1. FC Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach›
Sun 11 OctReferee Florian Badstubner

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga winger, 25/26, 865 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target2.21 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
1.65MGMEdge
Total shots4.80 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
1.06PPEdge
Fouls won1.11 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
1.36bet365Edge
Fouls committed2.21 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
1.36bet365Edge
Tackles0.74 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
11%
1 of 90.8×
Cards0.37 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.74 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
form only
Assists0.37 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 25/26, Luca Waldschmidt has hit 1+ shot on target in 42% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (10 of 24), 1+ total shot in 67%, 1+ foul committed in 25%, 1+ foul won in 17%, and been booked in 4% (1 of 24). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Luca Waldschmidt in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 28 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Luca Waldschmidt1. FC Köln 243.42 1.18
Johan BakayokoRB Leipzig 202.77 1.27
Rayan PhilippeSC Paderborn 07 282.72 1.67
Brajan GrudaRB Leipzig 132.62 1.19
Chris FührichVfB Stuttgart 332.35 0.31
Luis DíazFC Bayern München 323.23 1.29
These 5, combined 2.80 1.11

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luca Waldschmidt featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Hamburger SV19 Sep 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
1. FC Heidenheim10 May 32 2 4 1 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin2 May 62 0 0 4 0 0 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen25 Apr 18 2 3 0 0 0 0
@ FC St. Pauli17 Apr 11 1 1 0 0 0 0
SV Werder Bremen12 Apr 14 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt5 Apr 8 0 1 1 1 1 1
Borussia M'gladbach21 Mar 13 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ FC Augsburg27 Feb 66 0 1 0 2 1 0
TSG Hoffenheim21 Feb 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Matthias Jollenbeck 7 games Luca Waldschmidt never booked 4.04cards/game 0.99×vs league
Bastian Dankert 6 games Luca Waldschmidt never booked 3.60cards/game 0.88×vs league
Deniz Aytekin 6 games Luca Waldschmidt never booked 3.84cards/game 0.94×vs league
Tobias Reichel 4 games Luca Waldschmidt never booked 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Luca Waldschmidt have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Luca Waldschmidt has hit 1+ shot on target in 42% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (10 of 24). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Luca Waldschmidt average?

Across 24 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Luca Waldschmidt is averaging 1.71 shots on target and 3.42 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luca Waldschmidt get booked?

Luca Waldschmidt is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luca Waldschmidt commit or win more fouls?

This season Luca Waldschmidt commits 1.18 fouls per 90 and wins 0.79 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luca Waldschmidt?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luca Waldschmidt plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.