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Bundesliga 26/27
LU

Lucas Vázquez

Wing-back 86% of 7 recent starts Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga 26/27

Also in: La Liga

Next match
Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FSV Mainz 05›
Sat 10 OctReferee Max Burda

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 16 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga wing-back, 25/26, 863 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.28 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
4.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.56 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
1.83bet365Edge
Fouls won1.13 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.20bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.13 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.18bet365Edge
Tackles0.28 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.28 per 90
10%
1 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.28 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Lucas Vázquez has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of 12 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 12), 1+ total shot in 25%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 33%, and been booked in 17% (2 of 12). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Lucas Vázquez in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Lucas VázquezBayer 04 Leverkusen 120.72 1.08
Omar Haktab TraoreWatford 260.59 1.31
Lukas UllrichBorussia M'gladbach 230.68 1.16
Sacha BoeyFC Bayern München 91.17 1.95
Josha VagnomanVfB Stuttgart 271.07 0.96
Marnon Busch1. FC Heidenheim 290.56 0.85
These 5, combined 0.75 1.11

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lucas Vázquez featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
RB Leipzig20 Sep 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ FC Augsburg12 Sep 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin5 Sep 11 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ SV 07 Elversberg29 Aug 55 0 0 2 1 1 0
Hamburger SV16 May 15 0 0 0 0 0 0
FC Augsburg18 Apr 65 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Borussia Dortmund11 Apr 16 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin21 Feb 29 0 0 1 0 0 0
FC St. Pauli14 Feb 59 0 0 1 0 0 0
SV Werder Bremen24 Jan 57 1 1 0 2 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Lucas Vázquez have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Lucas Vázquez has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of 12 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 12). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Lucas Vázquez average?

Across 12 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Lucas Vázquez is averaging 0.18 shots on target and 0.72 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lucas Vázquez get booked?

Lucas Vázquez is averaging 0.36 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lucas Vázquez commit or win more fouls?

This season Lucas Vázquez commits 1.08 fouls per 90 and wins 1.44 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Vázquez?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lucas Vázquez plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.