Alphonso Davies
Full-back 97% of 30 recent starts FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga full-back, 25/26, 841 appearances
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In 25/26, Alphonso Davies has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of 13 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 13), 1+ total shot in 23%, 1+ foul committed in 15%, 1+ foul won in 23%, and been booked in 8% (1 of 13). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Alphonso Davies in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphonso DaviesFC Bayern München | 13 | 0.67 | 0.34 |
| Omar Haktab TraoreWatford | 26 | 0.59 | 1.31 |
| Lukas UllrichBorussia M'gladbach | 23 | 0.68 | 1.16 |
| Joakim MæhleVfL Wolfsburg | 18 | 1.01 | 0.61 |
| Josha VagnomanVfB Stuttgart | 27 | 1.07 | 0.96 |
| Marnon Busch1. FC Heidenheim | 29 | 0.56 | 0.85 |
| These 5, combined | 0.77 | 0.97 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Alphonso Davies featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin18 Sep | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ SV 07 Elversberg13 Sep | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Schalke 045 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart28 Aug | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim2 May | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 0525 Apr | 57 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart19 Apr | 62 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ FC St. Pauli11 Apr | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg4 Apr | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt21 Feb | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Alphonso Davies have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Alphonso Davies has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of 13 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 13). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Alphonso Davies average?
Across 13 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Alphonso Davies is averaging 0.17 shots on target and 0.67 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Alphonso Davies get booked?
Alphonso Davies is averaging 0.17 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Alphonso Davies commit or win more fouls?
This season Alphonso Davies commits 0.34 fouls per 90 and wins 0.84 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alphonso Davies?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Alphonso Davies plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.