Nathaniel Brown
Full-back 43% of 30 recent starts FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga full-back, 25/26, 841 appearances
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In 25/26, Nathaniel Brown has hit 1+ shot on target in 24% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 33), 1+ total shot in 39%, 1+ foul committed in 52%, 1+ foul won in 58%, and been booked in 9% (3 of 33). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wing-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Nathaniel Brown in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 34 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel BrownFC Bayern München | 33 | 0.61 | 0.91 |
| Robin FellhauerFC Augsburg | 34 | 0.96 | 0.77 |
| Olivier DemanSV Werder Bremen | 16 | 0.72 | 1.36 |
| Montrell CulbreathBayer 04 Leverkusen | 12 | 1.09 | 0.61 |
| Silvan Widmer1. FSV Mainz 05 | 27 | 0.99 | 0.74 |
| Felix AguSV Werder Bremen | 11 | 0.24 | 0.97 |
| These 5, combined | 0.87 | 0.87 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nathaniel Brown featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin18 Sep | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SV 07 Elversberg13 Sep | 65 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| @ FC Schalke 045 Sep | 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart28 Aug | 61 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart16 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Borussia Dortmund8 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Hamburger SV2 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ FC Augsburg25 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| RB Leipzig18 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| @ VfL Wolfsburg11 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Nathaniel Brown have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Nathaniel Brown has hit 1+ shot on target in 24% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 33). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nathaniel Brown average?
Across 33 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Nathaniel Brown is averaging 0.30 shots on target and 0.61 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nathaniel Brown get booked?
Nathaniel Brown is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nathaniel Brown commit or win more fouls?
This season Nathaniel Brown commits 0.91 fouls per 90 and wins 1.12 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nathaniel Brown?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nathaniel Brown plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.