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Bundesliga 26/27
RI

Ridle Baku

Full-back 100% of 30 recent starts RB LeipzigBundesliga 26/27

Next match
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt›
Sat 10 OctReferee Daniel Siebert

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga full-back, 25/26, 841 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.63 per 90
40%
4 of 102.6×
2.75PPEdge
Total shots1.51 per 90
70%
7 of 101.8×
1.50PPEdge
Fouls won1.26 per 90
60%
6 of 101.6×
1.30bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.25 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
1.83bet365Edge
Tackles1.76 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
5.00bet365Edge
Goals0.38 per 90
30%
3 of 105.8×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 25/26, Ridle Baku has hit 1+ shot on target in 16% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 32), 1+ total shot in 66%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 44%, and been booked in 12% (4 of 32). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Ridle Baku in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ridle BakuRB Leipzig 321.08 0.83
David RaumRB Leipzig 300.85 1.02
Lukas KüblerSC Freiburg 231.07 1.13
Joakim MæhleVfL Wolfsburg 181.01 0.61
Sebastian Sebulonsen1. FC Köln 311.11 0.40
Vladimír CoufalTSG Hoffenheim 340.75 0.98
These 5, combined 0.93 0.83

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ridle Baku featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen20 Sep 84 0 0 0 4 1 0
Hamburger SV13 Sep 16 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ SV Werder Bremen5 Sep 90 1 3 0 1 0 0
Borussia M'gladbach29 Aug 73 1 2 0 1 3 0
@ SC Freiburg16 May 27 0 1 0 0 0 0
FC St. Pauli9 May 89 0 0 0 2 2 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen2 May 90 0 1 0 1 2 0
1. FC Union Berlin24 Apr 79 1 1 0 1 1 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt18 Apr 90 0 1 0 0 4 0
Borussia M'gladbach11 Apr 78 2 3 2 0 1 1
Officials on record
Sascha Stegemann 12 games Ridle Baku booked in 4 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league
Daniel Siebert 10 games Ridle Baku booked in 2 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Bastian Dankert 8 games Ridle Baku booked in 1 3.60cards/game 0.88×vs league
Robert Hartmann 8 games Ridle Baku never booked 3.86cards/game 0.95×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 18 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ridle Baku have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Ridle Baku has hit 1+ shot on target in 16% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 32). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ridle Baku average?

Across 32 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Ridle Baku is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 1.08 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ridle Baku get booked?

Ridle Baku is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ridle Baku commit or win more fouls?

This season Ridle Baku commits 0.83 fouls per 90 and wins 0.79 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ridle Baku?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ridle Baku plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.