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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Marcel Sabitzer

Midfielder · Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Marcel Sabitzer has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 26 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 26), 1+ total shot in 46%, 1+ foul committed in 54%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 12% (3 of 26). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
40%4 of 10
0.45
60%6 of 10
1.12
70%7 of 10
1.12
10%1 of 10
0.11
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV
Sat 29 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Marcel Sabitzer featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Eintracht Frankfurt8 May 78 0 1 2 0 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach3 May 90 0 1 1 1 0
SC Freiburg26 Apr 90 0 0 2 1 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim18 Apr 71 0 0 0 4 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen11 Apr 64 0 1 1 1 0
@ VfB Stuttgart4 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 1
Hamburger SV21 Mar 58 0 0 2 0 0
FC Augsburg14 Mar 86 0 0 0 1 0
@ 1. FC Köln7 Mar 90 0 1 0 0 0
FC Bayern München28 Feb 90 0 0 1 2 0
Officials on record
Deniz Aytekin 9 games · Marcel Sabitzer booked in 3 3.84cards/game 0.94×vs league
Daniel Siebert 9 games · Marcel Sabitzer booked in 1 4.25cards/game 1.04×vs league
Tobias Stieler 8 games · Marcel Sabitzer booked in 1 3.37cards/game 0.82×vs league
Sven Jablonski 6 games · Marcel Sabitzer never booked 3.70cards/game 0.90×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Marcel Sabitzer have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Marcel Sabitzer has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 26 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 26). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Marcel Sabitzer average?

Across 26 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Marcel Sabitzer is averaging 0.20 shots on target and 0.99 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Marcel Sabitzer get booked?

Marcel Sabitzer is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Marcel Sabitzer commit or win more fouls?

This season Marcel Sabitzer commits 0.99 fouls per 90 and wins 0.84 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marcel Sabitzer?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Marcel Sabitzer plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.