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Bundesliga · 25/26
MA

Marcus Ingvartsen

Forward · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga 25/26

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Marcus Ingvartsen has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 27 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
40%4 of 10
1.24
60%6 of 10
1.86
60%6 of 10
2.07
70%7 of 10
2.48
10%1 of 10
0.21
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07
Sat 29 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Marcus Ingvartsen featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Borussia Dortmund27 May 24 0 0 1 0 0
VfB Stuttgart21 May 72 1 1 1 1 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt13 May 60 0 1 0 1 0
FC Schalke 045 May 25 0 0 0 0 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg30 Apr 29 0 0 1 0 0
FC Bayern München22 Apr 13 0 1 1 0 0
@ 1. FC Köln15 Apr 16 0 0 2 1 0
SV Werder Bremen8 Apr 58 1 1 0 4 0
@ RB Leipzig1 Apr 78 3 3 3 2 1
SC Freiburg19 Mar 60 1 2 3 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Marcus Ingvartsen have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Marcus Ingvartsen has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Marcus Ingvartsen average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Marcus Ingvartsen is averaging 1.24 shots on target and 1.86 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Marcus Ingvartsen get booked?

Marcus Ingvartsen is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Marcus Ingvartsen commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Marcus Ingvartsen commits 2.48 fouls per 90 and wins 2.07 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marcus Ingvartsen?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Marcus Ingvartsen plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.