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Bundesliga 26/27
MA

Marin Ljubičić

Striker 100% of 3 recent starts 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga 26/27

Next match
1. FC Union Berlin vs SV 07 Elversberg›
Sat 10 OctReferee Tobias Reichel

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 18 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.12 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.55MGMEdge
Total shots1.96 per 90
50%
5 of 100.7×
1.01bet365Edge
Fouls won1.12 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.25bet365Edge
Fouls committed2.52 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
1.07bet365Edge
Tackles0.84 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
10%
1 of 101.2×
Cards0.28 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.56 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Marin Ljubičić has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Marin Ljubičić in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 48 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Marin Ljubičić1. FC Union Berlin 29.00 9.00
Harry KaneFC Bayern München 314.50 0.94
Deniz UndavVfB Stuttgart 294.89 1.28
Nicolas JacksonAston Villa 233.30 1.30
Conrad HarderRC Strasbourg 294.11 2.06
Christian KofaneBayer 04 Leverkusen 293.26 2.13
These 5, combined 4.21 1.41

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Marin Ljubičić featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
FC Schalke 0411 Sep 45 1 2 2 0 0 1
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen5 Sep 90 0 0 1 2 1 0
Eintracht Frankfurt29 Aug 82 1 2 1 0 0 0
@ FC Augsburg15 Jan 8 1 1 1 0 0 0
1. FSV Mainz 0510 Jan 12 1 1 1 0 0 0
@ FC Augsburg17 May 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
1. FC Heidenheim10 May 45 0 0 2 1 2 0
SV Werder Bremen3 May 18 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ VfL Bochum 184827 Apr 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
VfB Stuttgart19 Apr 10 0 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Bastian Dankert 3 games Marin Ljubičić never booked 3.60cards/game 0.88×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Bundesliga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Marin Ljubičić have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Marin Ljubičić has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Marin Ljubičić average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Marin Ljubičić is averaging 1.12 shots on target and 1.96 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Marin Ljubičić get booked?

Marin Ljubičić is averaging 0.28 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Marin Ljubičić commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Marin Ljubičić commits 2.52 fouls per 90 and wins 1.12 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marin Ljubičić?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marin Ljubičić plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.