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Bundesliga 26/27
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Shuto Machino

Striker 67% of 30 recent starts Borussia M'gladbachBundesliga 26/27

Next match
Borussia M'gladbach at 1. FC Köln›
Sun 11 OctReferee Florian Badstubner

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.32 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
2.18MGMEdge
Total shots2.90 per 90
50%
5 of 100.7×
1.18bet365Edge
Fouls won1.94 per 90
60%
6 of 101.5×
1.80bet365Edge
Fouls committed2.26 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.40bet365Edge
Tackles0.32 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.65 per 90
20%
2 of 102.2×
6.50bet365Edge
Goals0.32 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
form only
Assists0.32 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Shuto Machino has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 32), 1+ total shot in 47%, 1+ foul committed in 31%, 1+ foul won in 28%, and been booked in 6% (2 of 32). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Shuto Machino in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Shuto MachinoBorussia M'gladbach 322.16 1.16
Jovan MiloševićSV Werder Bremen 132.16 1.44
Marius Bülter1. FC Köln 322.35 0.95
Ansgar KnauffEintracht Frankfurt 282.36 1.76
Tim Skarke1. FC Union Berlin 222.04 1.16
Budu Zivzivadze1. FC Heidenheim 202.20 1.18
These 5, combined 2.27 1.28

Recent matches

The last 10 games Shuto Machino featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FSV Mainz 0519 Sep 15 1 4 0 1 0 1
@ SC Freiburg12 Sep 45 0 1 0 1 0 0
TSG Hoffenheim16 May 16 0 0 1 1 1 1
@ FC Augsburg9 May 87 0 2 4 1 0 0
Borussia Dortmund3 May 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg25 Apr 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ RB Leipzig11 Apr 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
1. FC Heidenheim4 Apr 85 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ 1. FC Köln21 Mar 2 0 0 0 1 0 0
FC St. Pauli13 Mar 15 0 1 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Robert Hartmann 6 games Shuto Machino booked in 2 3.86cards/game 0.95×vs league
Sascha Stegemann 5 games Shuto Machino never booked 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league
Felix Zwayer 4 games Shuto Machino booked in 1 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Daniel Schlager 4 games Shuto Machino never booked 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Shuto Machino have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Shuto Machino has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 32). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Shuto Machino average?

Across 32 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Shuto Machino is averaging 0.91 shots on target and 2.16 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Shuto Machino get booked?

Shuto Machino is averaging 0.17 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Shuto Machino commit or win more fouls?

This season Shuto Machino commits 1.16 fouls per 90 and wins 0.91 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Shuto Machino?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Shuto Machino plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.