Nathan Tella
In 25/26, Nathan Tella has hit 1+ shot on target in 29% of 17 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 17), 1+ total shot in 65%, 1+ foul committed in 59%, 1+ foul won in 53%, and been booked in 12% (2 of 17). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nathan Tella featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig2 May | 77 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Köln25 Apr | 72 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Augsburg18 Apr | 81 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Borussia Dortmund11 Apr | 74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| VfL Wolfsburg4 Apr | 81 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Heidenheim21 Mar | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| FC Bayern München14 Mar | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ TSG Hoffenheim17 Jan | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart10 Jan | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ RB Leipzig20 Dec | 77 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Nathan Tella have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Nathan Tella has hit 1+ shot on target in 29% of 17 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 17). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Nathan Tella average?
Across 17 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Nathan Tella is averaging 0.81 shots on target and 2.42 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nathan Tella get booked?
Nathan Tella is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nathan Tella commit or win more fouls?
This season Nathan Tella commits 1.51 fouls per 90 and wins 1.92 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nathan Tella?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Nathan Tella plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.