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Championship · 25/26
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Nathan Tella

Forward · Southampton · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Nathan Tella has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 42 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
70%7 of 10
1.46
90%Hot9 of 10
3.17
90%Hot9 of 10
3.54
80%Hot8 of 10
2.68
20%2 of 10
0.24
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Southampton at Watford
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nathan Tella featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Plymouth Argyle19 Aug 89 3 4 5 3 0
Norwich12 Aug 90 1 2 2 5 1
@ Sheffield Wednesday4 Aug 90 0 5 2 1 1
Cardiff City8 May 20 1 1 0 1 0
@ Reading15 Apr 18 0 0 2 0 0
Sheffield United10 Apr 87 1 1 4 5 0
@ Middlesbrough7 Apr 86 0 1 1 4 0
Sunderland31 Mar 90 1 2 3 2 0
@ Hull City15 Mar 78 3 4 0 1 0
Wigan Athletic11 Mar 90 2 6 3 7 0
Officials on record
David Webb 3 games · Nathan Tella booked in 1 3.18cards/game 0.79×vs league
John Busby 3 games · Nathan Tella never booked 3.82cards/game 0.95×vs league
Leigh Doughty 3 games · Nathan Tella never booked 4.54cards/game 1.13×vs league
Oliver Langford 3 games · Nathan Tella never booked 3.74cards/game 0.93×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Nathan Tella have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Nathan Tella has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Nathan Tella average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Nathan Tella is averaging 1.46 shots on target and 3.17 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nathan Tella get booked?

Nathan Tella is averaging 0.24 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nathan Tella commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nathan Tella commits 2.68 fouls per 90 and wins 3.54 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nathan Tella?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Nathan Tella plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.