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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Oladapo Afolayan

Forward · FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga 25/26

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Oladapo Afolayan has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 39 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
30%3 of 10
0.89
50%5 of 10
2.38
60%6 of 10
2.67
30%3 of 10
1.19
10%1 of 10
0.30
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Oladapo Afolayan featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Borussia M'gladbach1 Nov 45 0 0 0 3 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt25 Oct 30 1 2 0 2 0
TSG Hoffenheim19 Oct 27 0 1 0 0 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen27 Sep 9 0 0 0 1 0
@ VfB Stuttgart19 Sep 28 1 1 1 0 1
FC Augsburg14 Sep 2 0 0 0 0 0
Borussia Dortmund23 Aug 14 0 0 1 0 0
VfL Bochum 184817 May 45 1 3 0 1 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt11 May 76 0 1 2 1 0
VfB Stuttgart3 May 27 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Felix Zwayer 4 games · Oladapo Afolayan booked in 1 4.39cards/game 1.07×vs league
Robert Hartmann 4 games · Oladapo Afolayan never booked 3.69cards/game 0.90×vs league
Christian Dingert 3 games · Oladapo Afolayan never booked 4.31cards/game 1.05×vs league
Matthias Jollenbeck 3 games · Oladapo Afolayan never booked 4.00cards/game 0.98×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Oladapo Afolayan have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Oladapo Afolayan has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Oladapo Afolayan average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Oladapo Afolayan is averaging 0.89 shots on target and 2.38 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Oladapo Afolayan get booked?

Oladapo Afolayan is averaging 0.30 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Oladapo Afolayan commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Oladapo Afolayan commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 2.67 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Oladapo Afolayan?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Oladapo Afolayan plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.