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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Yannik Keitel

Midfielder · FC Augsburg · Bundesliga 25/26

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Yannik Keitel has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.24
20%2 of 10
0.48
30%3 of 10
1.21
40%4 of 10
0.97
20%2 of 10
0.48
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04
Sun 30 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Yannik Keitel featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ 1. FC Union Berlin16 May 55 0 0 1 1 0
Borussia M'gladbach9 May 28 0 0 1 0 0
1. FC Köln27 Feb 40 0 0 0 0 1
FC St. Pauli31 Jan 45 0 0 0 0 0
@ FC Bayern München24 Jan 16 0 0 0 0 0
SC Freiburg18 Jan 63 0 0 1 1 1
FC Augsburg11 May 18 0 1 0 0 0
SV Werder Bremen13 Apr 11 1 1 0 0 0
@ VfL Bochum 18485 Apr 84 0 0 1 3 0
@ Borussia Dortmund8 Feb 13 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Sascha Stegemann 6 games · Yannik Keitel never booked 4.02cards/game 0.98×vs league
Christian Dingert 4 games · Yannik Keitel never booked 4.31cards/game 1.05×vs league
Felix Zwayer 4 games · Yannik Keitel never booked 4.39cards/game 1.07×vs league
Harm Osmers 4 games · Yannik Keitel never booked 4.34cards/game 1.06×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Yannik Keitel have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Yannik Keitel has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Yannik Keitel average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Yannik Keitel is averaging 0.24 shots on target and 0.48 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Yannik Keitel get booked?

Yannik Keitel is averaging 0.48 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Yannik Keitel commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Yannik Keitel commits 0.97 fouls per 90 and wins 1.21 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Yannik Keitel?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Yannik Keitel plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.