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Bundesliga 26/27
YA

Yannik Keitel

Central midfielder 57% of 23 recent starts FC AugsburgBundesliga 26/27

Next match
FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München›
Sat 10 OctReferee Sven Jablonski

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga central midfielder, 25/26, 1,878 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
3.90MGMEdge
Total shots0.28 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
2.10MGMEdge
Fouls won0.55 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
1.83bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.83 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.20bet365Edge
Tackles1.66 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.55 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
7.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Yannik Keitel has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Yannik Keitel in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 69 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Yannik KeitelFC Augsburg 60.00 1.09
Leonardo BittencourtSV Werder Bremen 171.01 1.01
Janik Haberer1. FC Union Berlin 280.60 1.30
Luca Kerber1. FC Heidenheim 181.00 1.50
Chema AndrésBrighton & Hove Albion 251.02 1.36
Atakan KarazorVfB Stuttgart 280.33 0.95
These 5, combined 0.69 1.20

Recent matches

The last 10 games Yannik Keitel featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ SV Werder Bremen19 Sep 38 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen12 Sep 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
FC Schalke 0430 Aug 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin16 May 55 0 0 1 1 1 0
Borussia M'gladbach9 May 28 0 0 1 0 1 0
1. FC Köln27 Feb 40 0 0 0 0 4 1
FC St. Pauli31 Jan 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ FC Bayern München24 Jan 16 0 0 0 0 0 0
SC Freiburg18 Jan 63 0 0 1 1 0 1
FC Augsburg11 May 18 0 1 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Sascha Stegemann 7 games Yannik Keitel never booked 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league
Christian Dingert 4 games Yannik Keitel never booked 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Daniel Siebert 4 games Yannik Keitel never booked 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Felix Zwayer 4 games Yannik Keitel never booked 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Yannik Keitel have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Yannik Keitel has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Yannik Keitel average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Yannik Keitel is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.28 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Yannik Keitel get booked?

Yannik Keitel is averaging 0.55 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Yannik Keitel commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Yannik Keitel commits 0.83 fouls per 90 and wins 0.55 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Yannik Keitel?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Yannik Keitel plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.