Birmingham City v West Brom
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Birmingham City drew with West Brom 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Jay Stansfield for 1+ shots total (90%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Daryl Dike for 1+ shots total (88%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Stansfield | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 2 | ✓ |
| Marvin Ducksch | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ibrahim Osman | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 4 | ✓ |
| Isaac Price | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| August Priske | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Daryl Dike | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mikey Johnston | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Callum Styles | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Carlos Vicente | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jed Wallace | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ousmane Diakité | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jhon Solís | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Daryl Dike | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 3 | ✓ |
| Aune Selland Heggebø | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls drawn Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 49% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 46% | 0 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 30% | 6 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- West Brom 1–1 Birmingham City Nov 2025
- West Brom 1–0 Birmingham City Feb 2024
- Birmingham City 3–1 West Brom Oct 2023
- Birmingham City 2–0 West Brom Feb 2023
- West Brom 2–3 Birmingham City Sep 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Birmingham City v West Brom?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Birmingham City v West Brom?
The most confident call it got wrong was Daryl Dike at 88% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.