Blackburn Rovers v Hull City
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Blackburn Rovers lost to Hull City 0–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Todd Cantwell for 1+ fouls drawn (81%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Oli McBurnie for 1+ shots total (78%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Cantwell | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Joe Gelhardt | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
| Oli McBurnie | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Yuki Ohashi | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Joe Gelhardt | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Liam Millar | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Andri Guðjohnsen | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Yu Hirakawa | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mathias Jørgensen | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Yuki Ohashi | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Moussa Baradji | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Oli McBurnie | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
| Moussa Baradji | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Todd Cantwell | shots total | 1+ | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Fouls drawn · Shots total · Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 54% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 52% | 1 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 41% | 2 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Hull City 0–3 Blackburn Rovers Aug 2025
- Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Hull City Dec 2024
- Hull City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers Dec 2024
- Hull City 3–2 Blackburn Rovers Dec 2023
- Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Hull City Aug 2023
- Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Hull City Apr 2023
- Hull City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Blackburn Rovers v Hull City?
9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Blackburn Rovers v Hull City?
The most confident call it got wrong was Oli McBurnie at 78% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.