Hull City v Blackburn Rovers
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Hull City lost to Blackburn Rovers 0–3, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Sondre Tronstad for 1+ tackles (95%, had 5). Its clearest miss: David Akintola for 1+ shots total (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sondre Tronstad | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 5 | ✓ |
| Cody Drameh | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joe Gelhardt | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 2 | ✓ |
| David Akintola | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Yuki Ohashi | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Joel Ndala | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Augustus Kargbo | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Todd Cantwell | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ryan Hedges | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Todd Cantwell | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ryan Alebiosu | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Kasey Palmer | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kasey Palmer | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Oli McBurnie | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 49% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 42% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 31% | 6 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Hull City Jan 2026
- Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Hull City Dec 2024
- Hull City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers Dec 2024
- Hull City 3–2 Blackburn Rovers Dec 2023
- Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Hull City Aug 2023
- Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Hull City Apr 2023
- Hull City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Hull City v Blackburn Rovers?
12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Hull City v Blackburn Rovers?
The most confident call it got wrong was David Akintola at 89% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.