Coventry City v Leeds
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Coventry City lost to Leeds 0–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Victor Torp for 1+ fouls committed (83%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Brandon Thomas-Asante for 1+ shots total (74%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Torp | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Daniel James | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 5 | ✓ |
| Joël Piroe | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 4 | ✓ |
| Brenden Aaronson | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Junior Firpo | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 3 | ✓ |
| Brandon Thomas-Asante | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ilia Gruev | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ao Tanaka | fouls drawn | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jayden Bogle | fouls committed | 1+ | 71% | 1 | ✓ |
| Manor Solomon | shots total | 1+ | 71% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | fouls drawn | 1+ | 71% | 5 | ✓ |
| Brenden Aaronson | shots total | 1+ | 70% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ao Tanaka | fouls committed | 1+ | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
| Manor Solomon | fouls drawn | 1+ | 70% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Shots total · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 47% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 42% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 18% | 3 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Coventry City None–None Leeds Jan 2027
- Leeds None–None Coventry City Nov 2026
- Leeds 3–0 Coventry City Sep 2024
- Coventry City 2–1 Leeds Apr 2024
- Leeds 1–1 Coventry City Dec 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Coventry City v Leeds?
12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Coventry City v Leeds?
The most confident call it got wrong was Brandon Thomas-Asante at 74% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.