Hull City v Rotherham United
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Hull City beat Rotherham United 4–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Jaden Philogene-Bidace for 1+ shots total (85%, had 5). Its clearest miss: Tom Eaves for 1+ fouls committed (88%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
14 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record →
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Eaves | fouls committed | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jaden Philogene-Bidace | shots total | 1+ | 85% | 5 | ✓ |
| Georgie Kelly | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jordan Hugill | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Scott Twine | fouls drawn | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Georgie Kelly | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Adama Traoré | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Liam Delap | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 4 | ✓ |
| Ozan Tufan | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jaden Philogene-Bidace | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jason Lokilo | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 3 | ✓ |
| Scott Twine | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 5 | ✓ |
| Jason Lokilo | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tom Eaves | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Shots total · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 41% | 5 goals | ✓ |
| BTTS | Yes | 36% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 27% | 3 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match goals · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Rotherham United 1–2 Hull City Feb 2024
- Hull City 0–0 Rotherham United Apr 2023
- Rotherham United 2–4 Hull City Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Hull City v Rotherham United?
9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Hull City v Rotherham United?
The most confident call it got wrong was Tom Eaves at 88% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.