Preston North End v Sheffield Wednesday
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Preston North End beat Sheffield Wednesday 3–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Daniel Jebbison for 1+ fouls drawn (76%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Daniel Jebbison for 1+ shots total (74%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jebbison | fouls drawn | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Smith | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Bailey Cadamarteri | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alfie Devine | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
| Daniel Jebbison | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Harry Amass | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 3 | ✓ |
| Nathan Redmond | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Bailey Cadamarteri | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ali McCann | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Smith | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jamal Lowe | fouls committed | 1+ | 71% | 0 | ✗ |
| Charlie McNeill | shots total | 1+ | 71% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jamal Lowe | fouls drawn | 1+ | 71% | 0 | ✗ |
| Svante Ingelsson | fouls committed | 1+ | 71% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Fouls drawn · Fouls committed · Shots total
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 54% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 51% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 24% | 2 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sheffield Wednesday 2–3 Preston North End Nov 2025
- Preston North End 3–1 Sheffield Wednesday Dec 2024
- Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Preston North End Dec 2024
- Preston North End 0–1 Sheffield Wednesday Dec 2023
- Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Preston North End Aug 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Preston North End v Sheffield Wednesday?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Preston North End v Sheffield Wednesday?
The most confident call it got wrong was Daniel Jebbison at 74% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.