Sheffield Wednesday v Preston North End
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Sheffield Wednesday lost to Preston North End 2–3, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Bailey Cadamarteri for 1+ shots total (90%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Pol Valentín for 1+ tackles (95%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pol Valentín | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 0 | ✗ |
| Daniel Jebbison | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 0 | ✗ |
| Michael Smith | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lewis Dobbin | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 2 | ✓ |
| Bailey Cadamarteri | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 2 | ✓ |
| Charlie McNeill | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 5 | ✓ |
| Daniel Jebbison | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alfie Devine | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Odeluga Offiah | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 5 | ✓ |
| Michael Smith | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 3 | ✓ |
| Alfie Devine | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jamal Lowe | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ben Whiteman | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mads Frøkjær | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 62% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 61% | 5 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 28% | 2 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Preston North End 3–0 Sheffield Wednesday Jan 2026
- Preston North End 3–1 Sheffield Wednesday Dec 2024
- Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Preston North End Dec 2024
- Preston North End 0–1 Sheffield Wednesday Dec 2023
- Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Preston North End Aug 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Sheffield Wednesday v Preston North End?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Sheffield Wednesday v Preston North End?
The most confident call it got wrong was Pol Valentín at 95% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.