Sheffield United v Birmingham City
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Sheffield United drew with Birmingham City 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 7 landed — the strongest being Femi Seriki for 1+ tackles (91%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Thomas Cannon for 1+ shots total (92%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Cannon | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 0 | ✗ |
| Femi Seriki | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyrese Campbell | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 0 | ✗ |
| Patrick Bamford | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jay Stansfield | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tahith Chong | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Callum O'Hare | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Femi Seriki | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Sam McCallum | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jay Stansfield | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| August Priske | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 3 | ✓ |
| August Priske | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Callum O'Hare | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Carlos Vicente | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls drawn Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 61% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 54% | 0 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 33% | 0 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Birmingham City 1–1 Sheffield United Mar 2026
- Sheffield United 3–0 Birmingham City Dec 2025
- Birmingham City 2–1 Sheffield United Aug 2025
- Birmingham City 1–2 Sheffield United May 2023
- Sheffield United 1–1 Birmingham City Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Sheffield United v Birmingham City?
7 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Sheffield United v Birmingham City?
The most confident call it got wrong was Thomas Cannon at 92% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.