Sheffield Wednesday v Hull City
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Sheffield Wednesday drew with Hull City 2–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Harry Amass for 1+ tackles (95%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Matt Crooks for 1+ tackles (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Amass | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mohamed Belloumi | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Bailey Cadamarteri | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 2 | ✓ |
| Liam Millar | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Oli McBurnie | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Matt Crooks | tackles | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Akin Famewo | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Amir Hadžiahmetović | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Darko Gyabi | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Svante Ingelsson | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Matt Crooks | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jarvis Thornton | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lewie Coyle | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jamal Lowe | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 3 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls committed Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 68% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 66% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 36% | 6 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Hull City 3–1 Sheffield Wednesday Mar 2026
- Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Hull City Apr 2025
- Hull City 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday Nov 2024
- Hull City 1–2 Sheffield Wednesday Aug 2024
- Sheffield Wednesday 3–1 Hull City Jan 2024
- Hull City 4–2 Sheffield Wednesday Aug 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Sheffield Wednesday v Hull City?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Sheffield Wednesday v Hull City?
The most confident call it got wrong was Matt Crooks at 89% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.