Sheffield Wednesday v West Brom
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Sheffield Wednesday beat West Brom 2–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 8 landed — the strongest being Daryl Dike for 1+ shots total (81%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Aune Selland Heggebø for 1+ fouls committed (80%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daryl Dike | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Aune Selland Heggebø | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathaniel Chalobah | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
| Karlan Grant | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Daryl Dike | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Daryl Dike | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tammer Bany | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Oliver Bostock | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Isaac Price | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Maja | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| William Grainger | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| William Grainger | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Aune Selland Heggebø | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tammer Bany | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 46% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 44% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 16% | 5 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- West Brom 0–0 Sheffield Wednesday Nov 2025
- West Brom 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday Feb 2025
- Sheffield Wednesday 3–2 West Brom Sep 2024
- Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 West Brom Apr 2024
- West Brom 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday Oct 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Sheffield Wednesday v West Brom?
8 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Sheffield Wednesday v West Brom?
The most confident call it got wrong was Aune Selland Heggebø at 80% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.