West Brom v Sheffield Wednesday
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before West Brom drew with Sheffield Wednesday 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Karlan Grant for 1+ shots total (89%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Callum Styles for 1+ tackles (95%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Styles | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 0 | ✗ |
| Karlan Grant | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mikey Johnston | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ike Ugbo | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Maja | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Isaac Price | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ousmane Diakité | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ousmane Diakité | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alfie Gilchrist | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Harry Amass | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Samuel Iling Junior | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Lowe | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Dominic Iorfa | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Svante Ingelsson | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 58% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 54% | 0 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 35% | 2 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 West Brom May 2026
- West Brom 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday Feb 2025
- Sheffield Wednesday 3–2 West Brom Sep 2024
- Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 West Brom Apr 2024
- West Brom 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday Oct 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on West Brom v Sheffield Wednesday?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on West Brom v Sheffield Wednesday?
The most confident call it got wrong was Callum Styles at 95% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.