West Brom v Hull City
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before West Brom beat Hull City 3–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Matt Crooks for 1+ fouls committed (85%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Lewis Koumas for 1+ fouls committed (79%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Crooks | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Aune Selland Heggebø | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Lewis Koumas | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Oli McBurnie | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Joe Gelhardt | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Isaac Price | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 7 | ✓ |
| Aune Selland Heggebø | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jed Wallace | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
| Liam Millar | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jamaldeen Jimoh | fouls drawn | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Aune Selland Heggebø | fouls drawn | 1+ | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
| Charlie Hughes | fouls committed | 1+ | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lewie Coyle | fouls committed | 1+ | 70% | 0 | ✗ |
| Josh Maja | fouls committed | 1+ | 70% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Shots total · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 49% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 48% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 41% | 6 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Hull City 1–0 West Brom Dec 2025
- West Brom 1–1 Hull City Mar 2025
- Hull City 1–2 West Brom Nov 2024
- Hull City 1–1 West Brom Feb 2024
- West Brom 3–1 Hull City Nov 2023
- Hull City 2–0 West Brom Mar 2023
- West Brom 5–2 Hull City Aug 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on West Brom v Hull City?
9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on West Brom v Hull City?
The most confident call it got wrong was Lewis Koumas at 79% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.