Alfie Jones
Centre-back 67% of 30 recent starts MiddlesbroughChampionship 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship centre-back, 25/26, 2,357 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Alfie Jones has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Alfie Jones in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 38 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfie JonesMiddlesbrough | 5 | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| Jake Clarke-SalterQueens Park Rangers | 8 | 0.00 | 1.09 |
| Lisav Naif EissatBristol City | 8 | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Ruairi McConvilleNorwich City | 7 | 0.80 | 0.48 |
| Ryley TowlerLincoln City | 7 | 0.34 | 0.51 |
| Luke AylingMiddlesbrough | 8 | 0.81 | 0.16 |
| These 5, combined | 0.57 | 0.70 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Alfie Jones featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich12 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Queens Park Rangers5 Sep | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Burnley2 Sep | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| West Brom29 Aug | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lincoln City15 Aug | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Blackburn Rovers26 Dec | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City20 Dec | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Queens Park Rangers13 Dec | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Charlton Athletic9 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hull City5 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Alfie Jones have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Alfie Jones has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Alfie Jones average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Alfie Jones is averaging 0.17 shots on target and 0.67 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Alfie Jones get booked?
Alfie Jones is averaging 0.17 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Alfie Jones commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Alfie Jones commits 0.50 fouls per 90 and wins 0.17 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alfie Jones?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Alfie Jones plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.