Brenden Aaronson
Over the last 10 Championship games, Brenden Aaronson has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Brenden Aaronson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Plymouth Argyle3 May | 79 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bristol City28 Apr | 86 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stoke City21 Apr | 86 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Oxford United18 Apr | 89 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Preston North End12 Apr | 80 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Middlesbrough8 Apr | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Luton5 Apr | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Swansea City29 Mar | 73 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Queens Park Rangers15 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Millwall12 Mar | 90 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Brenden Aaronson have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Brenden Aaronson has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Brenden Aaronson average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Brenden Aaronson is averaging 0.99 shots on target and 2.23 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Brenden Aaronson get booked?
Brenden Aaronson is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Brenden Aaronson commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Brenden Aaronson commits 1.61 fouls per 90 and wins 1.98 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Brenden Aaronson?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Brenden Aaronson plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.