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Premier League 26/27
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Brenden Aaronson

Attacking midfielder 33% of 30 recent starts LeedsPremier League 26/27

Also in: ChampionshipBundesliga

Next match
Leeds at Arsenal›
Sat 10 OctReferee Paul Tierney

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League attacking midfielder, 25/26, 908 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.53 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
3.25bet365Edge
Total shots1.06 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
1.50bet365Edge
Fouls won1.76 per 90
70%
7 of 101.2×
1.25bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.53 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.53bet365Edge
Tackles1.24 per 90
60%
6 of 101.0×
20%
2 of 101.4×
Cards0.18 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
8.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Brenden Aaronson has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable attacking midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Brenden Aaronson in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 31 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Brenden AaronsonLeeds United 371.71 0.73
Georginio RutterBrighton & Hove Albion 322.10 1.50
Mateus ManéWolverhampton 272.10 1.25
Xavi SimonsTottenham Hotspur 282.14 1.07
Mikkel DamsgaardBrentford 331.26 0.82
Yéremy PinoCrystal Palace 341.93 1.29
These 5, combined 1.88 1.18

Recent matches

The last 10 games Brenden Aaronson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Crystal Palace20 Sep 23 0 0 1 0 1 0
Newcastle14 Sep 18 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Brighton5 Sep 28 0 0 0 2 0 0
Brentford30 Aug 45 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Nottingham Forest22 Aug 82 1 1 0 2 1 0
@ West Ham24 May 89 1 4 1 1 1 1
Brighton17 May 60 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Tottenham11 May 63 0 0 0 2 2 0
Burnley1 May 18 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Bournemouth22 Apr 84 1 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Peter Bankes 9 games Brenden Aaronson never booked 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Michael Oliver 7 games Brenden Aaronson booked in 1 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Stuart Attwell 7 games Brenden Aaronson never booked 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league
Michael Salisbury 6 games Brenden Aaronson booked in 1 4.08cards/game 1.00×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Brenden Aaronson have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Brenden Aaronson has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Brenden Aaronson average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Brenden Aaronson is averaging 0.53 shots on target and 1.06 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Brenden Aaronson get booked?

Brenden Aaronson is averaging 0.18 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Brenden Aaronson commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Brenden Aaronson commits 0.53 fouls per 90 and wins 1.76 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Brenden Aaronson?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Brenden Aaronson plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.