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SharpXI©
Championship 25/26
CI

Ciaron Brown

Centre-back 77% of 30 recent starts Oxford UnitedChampionship 25/26

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship centre-back, 25/26, 2,357 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Total shots1.00 per 90
70%
7 of 101.8×
Fouls won0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
Fouls committed0.30 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles0.60 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Ciaron Brown has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ciaron Brown featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Millwall2 May 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
Sheffield Wednesday25 Apr 90 0 1 1 0 0 0
Wrexham21 Apr 90 0 2 0 0 0 0
@ Derby County18 Apr 90 0 1 0 1 1 0
Watford11 Apr 90 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Portsmouth6 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
Hull City3 Apr 90 0 2 1 0 0 0
@ Southampton21 Mar 90 1 2 0 0 0 0
Charlton Athletic14 Mar 90 0 1 1 0 2 1
Blackburn Rovers11 Mar 90 0 1 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Will Finnie 6 games Ciaron Brown booked in 3 3.81cards/game 0.95×vs league
James Bell 5 games Ciaron Brown booked in 2 3.93cards/game 0.98×vs league
Anthony Backhouse 5 games Ciaron Brown never booked 4.47cards/game 1.11×vs league
Matt Donohue 4 games Ciaron Brown booked in 1 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ciaron Brown have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Ciaron Brown has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ciaron Brown average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Ciaron Brown is averaging 0.10 shots on target and 1.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ciaron Brown get booked?

Ciaron Brown is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ciaron Brown commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ciaron Brown commits 0.30 fouls per 90 and wins 0.20 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ciaron Brown?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ciaron Brown plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.