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Championship 26/27
HA

Harry Darling

Centre-back 93% of 30 recent starts NorwichChampionship 26/27

Next match
Norwich at Swansea City›
Sat 10 OctReferee Andrew Kitchen

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship centre-back, 25/26, 2,357 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.25 per 90
20%
2 of 101.5×
3.60MGMEdge
Total shots0.98 per 90
60%
6 of 101.6×
1.62bet365Edge
Fouls won0.86 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls committed0.74 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles0.49 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.25 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
3.50PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Harry Darling has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Harry Darling in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 38 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Harry DarlingNorwich City 40.94 2.36
Jake Clarke-SalterQueens Park Rangers 80.00 1.09
Lisav Naif EissatBristol City 80.90 1.20
Krystian BielikCardiff City 70.91 1.09
Ben CabangoSwansea City 60.78 0.78
Dominic HyamWrexham 80.41 1.24
These 5, combined 0.58 1.10

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Harry Darling featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Birmingham City9 Sep 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Sheffield United5 Sep 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Millwall22 Aug 90 0 1 3 0 0 1
West Brom15 Aug 90 0 1 2 0 0 0
Swansea City25 Apr 90 0 2 0 0 2 0
Derby County21 Apr 90 0 0 0 3 0 0
@ Bristol City18 Apr 90 1 1 0 0 0 0
Ipswich11 Apr 90 0 2 0 1 1 1
@ Millwall6 Apr 90 1 1 0 3 0 0
Portsmouth3 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
Officials on record
John Busby 10 games Harry Darling booked in 3 3.80cards/game 0.95×vs league
Sam Allison 8 games Harry Darling booked in 2 3.72cards/game 0.93×vs league
David Webb 7 games Harry Darling booked in 2 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Josh Smith 6 games Harry Darling booked in 1 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Harry Darling have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Harry Darling has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Harry Darling average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Harry Darling is averaging 0.25 shots on target and 0.98 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Harry Darling get booked?

Harry Darling is averaging 0.25 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Harry Darling commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Harry Darling commits 0.74 fouls per 90 and wins 0.86 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Harry Darling?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Harry Darling plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.