What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship full-back, 25/26, 2,019 appearances
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Connor Roberts has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Connor Roberts in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 29 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connor RobertsBurnley | 6 | 0.18 | 0.91 |
| Kyle WalkerBurnley | 6 | 0.17 | 0.83 |
| Josh TymonSwansea City | 8 | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| Charlie TaylorDerby County | 8 | 0.25 | 1.27 |
| Alex CochraneBirmingham City | 8 | 0.27 | 1.09 |
| Rio CardinesBristol City | 8 | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| These 5, combined | 0.27 | 0.77 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Connor Roberts featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Swansea City12 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Wrexham8 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Middlesbrough2 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Norwich29 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ West Brom23 Aug | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Millwall3 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Queens Park Rangers26 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheffield United21 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Watford18 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Connor Roberts have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Connor Roberts has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Connor Roberts average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Connor Roberts is averaging 0.21 shots on target and 0.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Connor Roberts get booked?
Connor Roberts is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Connor Roberts commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Connor Roberts commits 0.74 fouls per 90 and wins 1.37 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Connor Roberts?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Connor Roberts plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.