Daniel Kelly
Central midfielder 100% of 4 recent starts MillwallChampionship 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship central midfielder, 25/26, 3,484 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Daniel Kelly has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Daniel Kelly in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 42 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel KellyMillwall | 7 | 0.51 | 2.02 |
| Edo KayembeWatford | 8 | 1.55 | 1.35 |
| Ugo RaghouberBurnley | 8 | 1.36 | 0.97 |
| Ivan VarfolomeevLincoln City | 7 | 0.99 | 1.19 |
| Leo LeroyPreston North End | 8 | 1.33 | 1.49 |
| Nicolas MadsenQueens Park Rangers | 8 | 1.49 | 0.56 |
| These 5, combined | 1.35 | 1.12 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Daniel Kelly featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Middlesbrough15 Sep | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Blackburn Rovers12 Sep | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Bolton Wanderers5 Sep | 35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wrexham2 Sep | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Southampton29 Aug | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norwich22 Aug | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City15 Aug | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Derby County10 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City6 Dec | 82 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Southampton29 Nov | 88 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Daniel Kelly have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Daniel Kelly has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Daniel Kelly average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Daniel Kelly is averaging 0.21 shots on target and 0.41 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Daniel Kelly get booked?
Daniel Kelly is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Daniel Kelly commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Daniel Kelly commits 1.64 fouls per 90 and wins 0.82 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Daniel Kelly?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Daniel Kelly plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.