Tom Bayliss
Central midfielder 100% of 3 recent starts Lincoln CityChampionship 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 8 games
Compared with a Championship central midfielder, 25/26, 3,484 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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In 26/27, Tom Bayliss has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 8 Championship appearances (0 of 8), 1+ total shot in 25%, 1+ foul committed in 25%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Tom Bayliss in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 42 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BaylissLincoln City | 8 | 1.03 | 0.69 |
| Ugo RaghouberBurnley | 8 | 1.36 | 0.97 |
| Leo LeroyPreston North End | 8 | 1.33 | 1.49 |
| Ivan VarfolomeevLincoln City | 7 | 0.99 | 1.19 |
| Jayson MolumbyWest Bromwich Albion | 8 | 0.64 | 0.48 |
| Joe WilliamsBristol City | 7 | 1.29 | 0.37 |
| These 5, combined | 1.11 | 0.90 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 8 games Tom Bayliss featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea City19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City15 Sep | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Preston North End12 Sep | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Southampton5 Sep | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Blackburn Rovers1 Sep | 61 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Bolton Wanderers29 Aug | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Portsmouth22 Aug | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Middlesbrough15 Aug | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Tom Bayliss have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Tom Bayliss has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 8 Championship appearances (0 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Tom Bayliss average?
Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Tom Bayliss is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 1.03 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Tom Bayliss get booked?
Tom Bayliss is averaging 0.34 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Tom Bayliss commit or win more fouls?
This season Tom Bayliss commits 0.69 fouls per 90 and wins 1.38 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tom Bayliss?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tom Bayliss plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.